Pengaruh Pengeluaran Aggregat Terhadap Pertumbuhan PDRB dan Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Sektor Primer, Sekunder dan Tersier, terhadap Pengangguran dan Kemiskinan di Provinsi Lampung

Achmad Subing

Abstract


This research was intended for analyzing the effect of Aggregate Expenditure involving
consumption, investment, governmental expenditure, and net export on the growth of Gross
Regional Domestic Product on unemployment and poverty in Lampung Province. Further, it is
intended for analyzing the effect of growth of Gross Regional Domestic Product in the Primary
sector, Secondary sector and Tertiary sector on unemployment and Poverty in Lampung Province.
The implementation of this research during the period of 2010-2011, including design,
implementation and reporting on result of research.
This research apply library study and data was obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics,
Bank Indonesia Regional Research and Development Agency, BAPPEDA and Demography Agency
of Lampung Province. Data in the form of aggregate expenditure, economic growth, unemployment
and poverty. This research applied the methodology of explanatory research with quantitative
analysis technique by applying statistic model of causality through double linear regression
analysis and simple linear regression analysis with the significance of five percent.
Result of research indicate that the aggregate expenditure; consumption expenditure investment,
governmental expenditure and net export has a simultaneous effect on the growth of PDRB.
Partially, the growth PDRB is more positively affected household consumption expenditure, private
investment and Governmental expenditure, while net export has negative effect on PDRB. Further,
the growth of PDRB has a positive effect on unemployment and poverty which means that PDRB
may not minimize Unemployment and Poverty in Lampung Province.
The growth of PDRB in the Primary sector and Tertiary sector partially has a negative effect on
unemployment, which means that the unemployment may be minimized by increasing the PDRB in
the Primary sector and Tertiary sector. Meanwhile, the PDRB in the Secondary sector has a
positive effect on unemployment in Lampung Province.
The growth of PDRB in the Primary sector has a negative effect on poverty, which means that
higher the production value of primary sector may minimize in Lampung Province, while the
production value of PDRB in the Secondary sector and Tertiary sector has a positive effect on
poverty. Nevertheless, simultaneous result of statistic for the growth of PDRB in the Primary,
Secondary, and Tertiary sectors is significant on the unemployment and poverty in Lampung
Province.


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.37721/je.v15i3.240

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